← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.92+4.16vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.18+5.81vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College3.71+2.99vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.92+4.98vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.45+1.79vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont2.86+3.36vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+3.14vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University3.08+0.14vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University3.48-2.07vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.50-3.39vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University3.28-4.30vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-2.47vs Predicted
-
14Boston University2.21-2.27vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University2.81-5.46vs Predicted
-
16University of Miami1.49-2.21vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.83-4.06vs Predicted
-
18Columbia University2.43-7.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.16University of Rhode Island3.920.2%1st Place
-
7.81Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
5.99Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
8.98Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
-
6.79Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
-
9.36University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
-
10.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
-
8.14Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
-
6.93Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
6.61Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
7.7Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
-
10.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
-
11.73Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
-
9.54Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
-
13.79University of Miami1.490.0%1st Place
-
12.94Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
-
10.86Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 15.1% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Haley Powell | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Katherine Gullick | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.2% |
| Eliza Richartz | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 6.0% |
| Erica Lush | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.6% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Nicole Popp | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 36.5% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 20.7% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.