← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.18+6.86vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island3.92+3.28vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College3.71+3.06vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.45+3.10vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.74+0.80vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.08+2.56vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University3.48-0.16vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.92+0.85vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont2.86-0.57vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-0.89vs Predicted
-
12Boston University2.21-0.23vs Predicted
-
13Columbia University2.43-2.16vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University2.81-4.43vs Predicted
-
15University of Miami1.70-1.54vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-5.34vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.83-3.95vs Predicted
-
18Georgetown University3.28-10.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.86Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
5.28University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
-
6.06Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
7.1Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
-
5.8Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
8.56Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
-
6.84Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.85Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
-
9.43University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
-
10.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
-
11.77Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
-
10.84Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
-
9.57Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
-
13.46University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
-
10.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
-
13.05Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
-
7.74Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 13.7% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Richartz | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Haley Powell | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Katherine Gullick | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% |
| Erica Lush | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 14.7% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Christine DeSilva | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 30.2% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 23.9% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.