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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+4.82vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+5.96vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+3.85vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.08+4.44vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.86+4.00vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.92-0.47vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.45-1.00vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.74-3.08vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.28-2.19vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.70+2.37vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.81-2.40vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.92-4.02vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.43-3.01vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-4.24vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.21-4.33vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-6.71vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.83-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.96Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.85Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.44Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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5.53University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.0Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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5.92Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.81Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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13.37University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
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9.6Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.98Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.99Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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11.67Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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13.02Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 12.5% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Eliza Richartz | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Amy Hawkins | 12.1% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Christine DeSilva | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 27.7% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Haley Powell | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% |
| Erica Lush | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 11.7% |
| Katherine Gullick | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 17.2% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.