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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+4.90vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.92+3.23vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+2.92vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.86+5.25vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.45+1.83vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.08+1.55vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.92+1.01vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.21+2.40vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.48-2.99vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-0.92vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.43-0.95vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.18-5.04vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.81-4.49vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.28-7.26vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-5.37vs Predicted
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17University of Miami1.49-3.05vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.83-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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5.23University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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5.92Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.25University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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6.83Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.55Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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9.01Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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11.4Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.01Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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11.05Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.96Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.51Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.74Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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13.95University of Miami1.490.0%1st Place
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12.98Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Eliza Richartz | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Haley Powell | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Erica Lush | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Gullick | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 8.7% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 6.5% |
| Nicole Popp | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 35.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 18.3% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.