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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+4.17vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.48+4.73vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.08+5.36vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.28+3.68vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+1.82vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.92+2.23vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.71-1.98vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.81+0.20vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+0.35vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.74-5.12vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.45-4.87vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-2.42vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.21-2.24vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.86-5.65vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.43-5.16vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.83-4.02vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.49-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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6.73Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.36Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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7.68Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.82Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.23Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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6.02Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.2Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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10.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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5.88Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.13Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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10.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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11.76Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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10.84Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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12.98Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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13.92University of Miami1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 14.8% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Eliza Richartz | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Haley Powell | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Katherine Gullick | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 4.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 9.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% |
| Erica Lush | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 20.8% |
| Nicole Popp | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.