← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+2.00vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+6.20vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+5.23vs Predicted
-
4Arizona State University-0.52+5.99vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-1.13+11.65vs Predicted
-
6San Diego State University-1.24+8.76vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine-0.88+5.95vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Irvine-0.80+4.15vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.27-0.27vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz0.17-3.10vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.53+5.09vs Predicted
-
12San Diego State University-0.86+1.11vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-2.21+6.78vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-0.87-1.06vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-0.96vs Predicted
-
16San Diego State University-1.18-1.46vs Predicted
-
17Arizona State University-1.53-2.64vs Predicted
-
18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86-6.32vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Berkeley-1.44-4.08vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Los Angeles-1.98-1.86vs Predicted
-
21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.17-7.77vs Predicted
-
22University of California at San Diego-1.54-5.78vs Predicted
-
23University of California at San Diego-1.47-7.33vs Predicted
-
24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.78-6.97vs Predicted
-
25University of California at Davis-1.48-9.43vs Predicted
-
26University of California at Davis-2.90-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.0University of California at Santa Cruz1.4530.4%1st Place
-
8.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.836.5%1st Place
-
8.23University of California at Santa Cruz0.245.8%1st Place
-
9.99Arizona State University-0.524.5%1st Place
-
16.65University of California at San Diego-1.131.1%1st Place
-
14.76San Diego State University-1.241.8%1st Place
-
12.95University of California at Irvine-0.882.1%1st Place
-
12.15University of California at Irvine-0.803.8%1st Place
-
8.73University of California at Santa Cruz-0.275.5%1st Place
-
6.9University of California at Santa Cruz0.178.1%1st Place
-
16.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.531.6%1st Place
-
13.11San Diego State University-0.862.6%1st Place
-
19.78University of California at San Diego-2.210.8%1st Place
-
12.94University of California at San Diego-0.872.9%1st Place
-
14.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.9%1st Place
-
14.54San Diego State University-1.181.9%1st Place
-
14.36Arizona State University-1.532.1%1st Place
-
11.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.863.3%1st Place
-
14.92University of California at Berkeley-1.442.3%1st Place
-
18.14University of California at Los Angeles-1.981.6%1st Place
-
13.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.172.9%1st Place
-
16.22University of California at San Diego-1.541.5%1st Place
-
15.67University of California at San Diego-1.471.6%1st Place
-
17.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.781.2%1st Place
-
15.57University of California at Davis-1.481.6%1st Place
-
22.11University of California at Davis-2.900.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 30.4% | 22.4% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Emma Feasey | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Emilia McNabb | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maggie McEachen | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Fernandez | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 15.5% | 15.7% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Noa Brassfield | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Dereck Phan | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Kevin Lu | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% |
| Mira Shupe | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Horn | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Nate Powers | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Pike Williams | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% |
| James Makler | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| James Carney | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.