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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+4.15vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+3.81vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+3.82vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+3.97vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.86+4.07vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.92+3.23vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.21+4.65vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+2.38vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.45-1.86vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.71-4.06vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.08-3.43vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-2.80vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.81-4.42vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.28-7.25vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.83-3.10vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.43-6.06vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.49-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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5.81Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.97Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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9.23Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.65Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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7.14Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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5.94Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.57Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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10.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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9.58Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.75Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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12.9Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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10.94Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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13.91University of Miami1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 15.0% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.7% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Haley Powell | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Erica Lush | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 10.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.5% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Eliza Richartz | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Katherine Gullick | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 22.7% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.0% |
| Nicole Popp | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 16.8% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.