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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+4.89vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+5.94vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.08+5.38vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+2.04vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.28+1.49vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.48+0.02vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.92-2.67vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.86+0.02vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.81-0.45vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.45-4.13vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-1.29vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.92-4.05vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.83-0.99vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.21-3.18vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-5.83vs Predicted
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17University of Miami1.49-3.06vs Predicted
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18Columbia University2.43-7.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.94Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.38Stanford University3.080.1%1st Place
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6.04Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.49Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.02Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.02University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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9.55Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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6.87Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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10.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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8.95Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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13.01Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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11.82Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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13.94University of Miami1.490.0%1st Place
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10.89Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 12.8% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Eliza Richartz | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 6.8% |
| Haley Powell | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 17.8% | 22.8% |
| Erica Lush | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.5% |
| Katherine Gullick | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Nicole Popp | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 18.1% | 33.6% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.