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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.58+8.69vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+4.93vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+4.17vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.51vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.71+3.92vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+1.85vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.98+0.99vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.24-1.11vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.33-2.47vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.29-3.03vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-0.56vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.82-3.10vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.74-4.29vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.71-5.24vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.98-3.18vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.09-1.27vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.36-0.74vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.30-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.69Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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6.93Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.17Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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8.92Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.85University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.99Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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6.53Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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6.97Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.9Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.71Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.76Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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11.82Harvard University1.980.0%1st Place
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14.73University of Miami1.090.0%1st Place
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16.26Northeastern University0.360.0%1st Place
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13.94Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Mace | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Mariel Marchand | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Crane | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 9.0% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Sky Adams | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Isabel Ruane | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 3.7% |
| Amy Gaylord | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 15.8% | 23.6% | 22.7% |
| Carolyn Marsh | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 18.8% | 53.8% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 23.4% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.