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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.24+6.16vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.71+7.23vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+3.87vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.98+7.65vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+1.96vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.58+3.57vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.74+1.84vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.33-1.46vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02-1.30vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.82-1.20vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.98-2.93vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.27-4.85vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.55vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.71-5.24vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-4.71vs Predicted
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16Columbia University1.30-1.82vs Predicted
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17University of Miami1.09-2.30vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University0.36-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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9.23Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.87Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.65Harvard University1.980.0%1st Place
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6.96Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.57Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.84Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.54Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.8Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.07Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.15Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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8.76Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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14.18Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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14.7University of Miami1.090.0%1st Place
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16.08Northeastern University0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Crane | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Emily Billing | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Ruane | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sky Adams | 6.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 21.5% | 16.3% |
| Amy Gaylord | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 25.5% | 22.5% |
| Carolyn Marsh | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 19.7% | 51.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.