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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+5.94vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+6.04vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.27+3.97vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.82+4.44vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.58+4.47vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.33+0.61vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.98+0.96vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.71+0.93vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23-2.10vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.71-0.70vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-0.53vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.24-4.80vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.53vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-5.38vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.98-3.19vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.36+0.25vs Predicted
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17University of Miami1.09-2.26vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.30-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.04University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.97Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.44Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.47Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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6.61Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.96Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.93Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.9Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.3Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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8.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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8.62Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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11.81Harvard University1.980.0%1st Place
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16.25Northeastern University0.360.0%1st Place
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14.74University of Miami1.090.0%1st Place
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13.91Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Mace | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 9.3% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Olivia Crane | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Isabel Ruane | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 3.6% |
| Carolyn Marsh | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 17.9% | 54.0% |
| Amy Gaylord | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 8.4% | 14.6% | 24.9% | 23.4% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 23.0% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.