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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+6.31vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+5.18vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+6.13vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.58+5.82vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.71+4.30vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.33+0.85vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.98+1.29vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74+1.14vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23-1.78vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.71-0.33vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-0.15vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.83-2.74vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.98-0.97vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.02-6.13vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.24-7.82vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.36+0.49vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-7.90vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.30-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.31Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.18Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.13Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.82Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.3Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.85Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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8.29Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.14Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.22Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.67Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.26University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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12.03Harvard University1.980.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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16.49Northeastern University0.360.0%1st Place
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9.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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14.31Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emily Billing | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sky Adams | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Isabel Ruane | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 6.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Crane | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Marsh | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 15.7% | 63.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 28.2% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.