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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.24+6.46vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+5.23vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.71+6.60vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.98+4.18vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.29+2.01vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.93vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.02+1.12vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.58+1.85vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.71+0.42vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.82-0.83vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.74-1.66vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.83-2.78vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.40vs Predicted
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14Harvard University1.98-2.03vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.33-8.24vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.23-8.70vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.36-0.50vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.30-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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7.23Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.6Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.01Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.85Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.42Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.17Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.34Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.22University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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10.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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11.97Harvard University1.980.0%1st Place
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6.76Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.3Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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16.5Northeastern University0.360.0%1st Place
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14.36Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Crane | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Emily Billing | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Sky Adams | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 2.0% |
| Isabel Ruane | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 5.3% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Marsh | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 14.5% | 64.1% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 13.4% | 27.9% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.