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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+6.43vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+7.25vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.71+6.70vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.83+1.23vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+3.19vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29+1.16vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.80vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.24-0.72vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.58+1.04vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.83-0.74vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.85vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.71-2.10vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.74-3.81vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.98-5.90vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.33-8.01vs Predicted
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16Harvard University1.98-3.59vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.36-0.48vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.30-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.25Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.7Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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5.23Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.16Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.28University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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10.04Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.26University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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9.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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9.9Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.19Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.1Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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6.99Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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12.41Harvard University1.980.0%1st Place
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16.52Northeastern University0.360.0%1st Place
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14.39Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 14.7% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Emily Billing | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Olivia Crane | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Isabel Ruane | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 6.2% |
| Carolyn Marsh | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 6.1% | 14.3% | 63.4% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 29.4% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.