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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+6.35vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.71+7.72vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+2.38vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.74+5.23vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.02vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+2.30vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.27+0.23vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.33-0.97vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.98+3.34vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.58+0.30vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.82-1.88vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.98-3.23vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.71-3.68vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.24-6.90vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.83-6.04vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-5.10vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.36-0.46vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.30-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.72Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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5.38Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.23Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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8.3University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.23Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.03Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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12.34Harvard University1.980.0%1st Place
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10.3Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.12Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.32Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.1University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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8.96University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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10.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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16.54Northeastern University0.360.0%1st Place
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14.39Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Mace | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Isabel Ruane | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 6.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| Sky Adams | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Crane | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| Carolyn Marsh | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 13.7% | 64.8% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 28.3% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.