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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.57+3.53vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.15-0.52vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.50+0.09vs Predicted
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4American University1.85+0.16vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy1.02+0.51vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.95-0.41vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.57-1.76vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.99-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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1.48U. S. Naval Academy4.150.7%1st Place
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3.09Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.16American University1.850.1%1st Place
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5.51U. S. Military Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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5.59Columbia University0.950.0%1st Place
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6.24University of Rochester0.570.0%1st Place
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5.4Hamilton College0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hussain Patel | 4.3% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 19.2% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 6.1% |
| Robert Nordlund | 65.4% | 24.2% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 13.0% | 27.7% | 24.1% | 17.8% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Russell Gasdia | 6.5% | 13.6% | 20.6% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 4.0% |
| Gregory Dempsey | 3.0% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 21.3% | 16.8% |
| Stephanie Hart | 2.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 18.9% | 20.4% |
| Adam Bossert | 1.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 15.8% | 18.5% | 37.0% |
| Rachel Bristol | 3.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 19.3% | 18.4% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.