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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+4.84vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University-1.09+5.17vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-0.84vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-0.26vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.31-1.04vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California-0.12-0.86vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-0.42vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.70-1.43vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.58-0.61vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.60-1.60vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-1.53-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.265.8%1st Place
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7.17Arizona State University-1.093.1%1st Place
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2.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.4541.0%1st Place
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3.74University of California at Santa Cruz0.8215.2%1st Place
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3.96University of California at Berkeley0.3114.7%1st Place
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5.14University of Southern California-0.127.4%1st Place
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6.58University of California at Los Angeles-0.963.9%1st Place
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6.57University of California at San Diego-0.702.9%1st Place
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8.39University of California at Davis-1.581.7%1st Place
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8.4Arizona State University-1.602.3%1st Place
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8.05University of California at Berkeley-1.532.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florence Duff | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Camden Wacha | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 10.1% |
| Garrett Henderson | 41.0% | 26.9% | 16.8% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 15.2% | 17.3% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Wilton Lawton | 14.7% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lara Granucci | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Conrad Kistler | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 5.2% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 5.0% |
| Luke Melvin | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 26.6% |
| Erin Welker | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 19.9% | 27.5% |
| Dante Drolet | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.