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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+4.40vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+7.31vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.02+5.50vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.58+5.87vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.29+2.15vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.71+3.53vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.24+0.35vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74+1.34vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.71+0.46vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.33-2.73vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.27-3.66vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.98+0.62vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.98-4.70vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.83-5.31vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-5.97vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-5.07vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.36-0.45vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.30-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.31Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.5University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.87Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.15Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.53Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.35University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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9.34Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.46Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.27Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.34Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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12.62Harvard University1.980.0%1st Place
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8.3Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.69University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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9.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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10.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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16.55Northeastern University0.360.0%1st Place
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14.36Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 13.8% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Emily Billing | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Crane | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Isabel Ruane | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 6.8% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 2.2% |
| Carolyn Marsh | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 14.8% | 63.7% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 26.7% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.