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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.24+6.60vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.98+6.67vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.74+6.66vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.33+2.93vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.27+2.17vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.83-0.78vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.58+3.00vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.71+1.39vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.82+0.01vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.29-2.59vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.02-2.62vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.98+0.63vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.71-3.67vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.83-5.26vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-4.23vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-6.88vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.30-2.40vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University0.36-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.6University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.66Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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6.93Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.17Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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5.22Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.0Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.39Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.01Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.41Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.38University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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12.63Harvard University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.33Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.74University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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10.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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14.6Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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16.38Northeastern University0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Crane | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mariel Marchand | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 13.0% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Sky Adams | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Emily Billing | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Isabel Ruane | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 7.3% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 2.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 29.8% | 20.6% |
| Carolyn Marsh | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 14.8% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.