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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.58+8.29vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.71+6.88vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.24+4.00vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.83+1.03vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.27+1.74vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.33+0.86vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.02+0.81vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.98vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.74+0.09vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.98-2.13vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.82-2.23vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.29-5.20vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.83-4.35vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.71-4.83vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.98-3.34vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.36-0.32vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.30-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.29Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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8.88Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.0University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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5.03Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.74Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.86Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.81University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.09Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.87Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.77Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.8Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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9.17Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.66Harvard University1.980.0%1st Place
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15.68Northeastern University0.360.0%1st Place
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13.72Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Crane | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 14.7% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 2.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Sky Adams | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Emily Billing | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Isabel Ruane | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 7.0% |
| Carolyn Marsh | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 15.4% | 63.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 28.9% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.