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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+1.14vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+4.45vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.49vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-0.17vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.90+0.47vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-1.64vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.31-0.40vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.95-2.54vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Stanford University2.8943.2%1st Place
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6.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.2%1st Place
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4.49University of California at Los Angeles1.309.5%1st Place
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3.83University of California at Santa Barbara1.3513.6%1st Place
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5.47University of Southern California0.906.1%1st Place
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4.36California Poly Maritime Academy1.6210.7%1st Place
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6.6University of California at Berkeley0.313.5%1st Place
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5.46University of California at Davis0.956.1%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Santa Cruz0.824.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 43.2% | 26.2% | 14.5% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Case | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 25.5% |
| Marianna Shand | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Jasper Reid | 13.6% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 10.2% |
| Clay Myers | 10.7% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 18.2% | 27.8% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 10.1% |
| George Soliman | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.