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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.90+3.40vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.47vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+0.30vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-1.17vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.31+0.64vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-0.43vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.95-2.60vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Stanford University2.8940.7%1st Place
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5.4University of Southern California0.906.6%1st Place
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4.47University of California at Los Angeles1.3010.9%1st Place
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4.3California Poly Maritime Academy1.6210.0%1st Place
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3.83University of California at Santa Barbara1.3514.1%1st Place
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6.64University of California at Berkeley0.313.0%1st Place
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6.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.6%1st Place
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5.4University of California at Davis0.957.0%1st Place
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6.22University of California at Santa Cruz0.824.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 40.7% | 26.9% | 17.3% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 9.6% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Clay Myers | 10.0% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Jasper Reid | 14.1% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 27.3% |
| Max Case | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 19.2% | 26.7% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 9.7% |
| George Soliman | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.