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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+1.15vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.90+3.44vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+0.87vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+2.15vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-0.71vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.95-0.65vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-0.40vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.30-3.48vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.31-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Stanford University2.8941.0%1st Place
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5.44University of Southern California0.906.5%1st Place
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3.87University of California at Santa Barbara1.3513.7%1st Place
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6.15University of California at Santa Cruz0.824.7%1st Place
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4.29California Poly Maritime Academy1.6211.8%1st Place
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5.35University of California at Davis0.956.2%1st Place
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6.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.1%1st Place
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4.52University of California at Los Angeles1.309.8%1st Place
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6.64University of California at Berkeley0.313.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 41.0% | 27.1% | 17.0% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 9.5% |
| Jasper Reid | 13.7% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| George Soliman | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 19.2% |
| Clay Myers | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 8.6% |
| Max Case | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 20.7% | 25.8% |
| Marianna Shand | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 18.2% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.