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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College3.65+6.73vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+2.18vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University4.01+3.44vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+2.54vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.68+5.92vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+2.26vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-2.19vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.38+0.42vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College4.15-3.23vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.73+1.11vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia3.54-2.91vs Predicted
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12Stevens Institute of Technology2.75-0.83vs Predicted
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13Princeton University1.50+1.60vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.27-5.32vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University1.95-1.49vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy1.22-0.50vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.34-4.55vs Predicted
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18William and Mary2.13-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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4.18Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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6.44Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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6.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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10.92University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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4.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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5.77SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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11.11Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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8.09University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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11.17Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.0%1st Place
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14.6Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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8.68Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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13.51Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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15.5U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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12.45Columbia University2.340.0%1st Place
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12.8William and Mary2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Whitford | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Chris Barnard | 16.1% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Russom | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Blouin | 14.3% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Vann | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Murray | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Gene Merewether | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 25.3% |
| Philip Alley | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Paul Stevens | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 12.4% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 18.7% | 38.5% |
| Billy Hines | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 6.8% |
| Isaac Clark | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.