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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+2.10vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+6.45vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+5.49vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-1.18+11.25vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.17+2.16vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86+6.37vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.53+10.03vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.27+0.87vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.53+5.95vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-1.44+6.15vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.52-0.35vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.88+1.58vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.54+3.46vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.13+3.38vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.78+3.12vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.48+0.13vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.87-3.11vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94-2.68vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.98+0.02vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-0.80-7.29vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-2.21-0.02vs Predicted
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22San Diego State University-0.86-8.15vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.17-8.91vs Predicted
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24San Diego State University-1.24-8.07vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-1.47-8.86vs Predicted
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26California State University Monterey Bay-1.83-7.33vs Predicted
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27California State University Monterey Bay-1.79-8.95vs Predicted
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28University of California at Davis-2.90-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1University of California at Santa Cruz1.4531.2%1st Place
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8.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.835.8%1st Place
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8.49University of California at Santa Cruz0.246.1%1st Place
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15.25San Diego State University-1.182.5%1st Place
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7.16University of California at Santa Cruz0.178.8%1st Place
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12.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.862.4%1st Place
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17.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.531.2%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Santa Cruz-0.276.8%1st Place
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14.95Arizona State University-1.532.2%1st Place
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16.15University of California at Berkeley-1.441.8%1st Place
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10.65Arizona State University-0.523.8%1st Place
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13.58University of California at Irvine-0.882.1%1st Place
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16.46University of California at San Diego-1.541.6%1st Place
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17.38University of California at San Diego-1.131.4%1st Place
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18.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.781.0%1st Place
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16.13University of California at Davis-1.482.1%1st Place
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13.89University of California at San Diego-0.872.2%1st Place
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15.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.5%1st Place
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19.02University of California at Los Angeles-1.980.9%1st Place
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12.71University of California at Irvine-0.803.4%1st Place
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20.98University of California at San Diego-2.210.8%1st Place
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13.85San Diego State University-0.862.6%1st Place
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14.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.172.2%1st Place
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15.93San Diego State University-1.241.6%1st Place
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16.14University of California at San Diego-1.471.3%1st Place
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18.67California State University Monterey Bay-1.831.2%1st Place
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18.05California State University Monterey Bay-1.790.9%1st Place
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23.22University of California at Davis-2.900.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 31.2% | 20.3% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Barraza | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Maggie McEachen | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noa Brassfield | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Fernandez | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Emilia McNabb | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Dereck Phan | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Down | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Horn | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Pike Williams | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| James Makler | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Kevin Lu | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 7.2% |
| Emma Feasey | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 17.9% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Mira Shupe | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Nate Powers | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Annika Altman | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| John Van Roekel | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% |
| James Carney | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.