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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+1.15vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.31+4.64vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+3.17vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.51vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.90+0.29vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-1.64vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-0.46vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-4.10vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.95-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Stanford University2.8942.1%1st Place
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6.64University of California at Berkeley0.313.0%1st Place
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6.17University of California at Santa Cruz0.824.3%1st Place
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4.51University of California at Los Angeles1.309.5%1st Place
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5.29University of Southern California0.907.2%1st Place
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4.36California Poly Maritime Academy1.6210.9%1st Place
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6.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.8%1st Place
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3.9University of California at Santa Barbara1.3513.0%1st Place
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5.43University of California at Davis0.956.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 42.1% | 26.3% | 15.9% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 19.7% | 28.7% |
| George Soliman | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 19.8% |
| Marianna Shand | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 8.7% |
| Clay Myers | 10.9% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Max Case | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 26.4% |
| Jasper Reid | 13.0% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.