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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+1.12vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.47vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+0.88vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+0.30vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+1.63vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.90-0.61vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.95-1.56vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.31-1.45vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Stanford University2.8942.9%1st Place
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4.47University of California at Los Angeles1.3010.4%1st Place
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3.88University of California at Santa Barbara1.3513.0%1st Place
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4.3California Poly Maritime Academy1.6210.4%1st Place
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6.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.512.9%1st Place
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5.39University of Southern California0.907.0%1st Place
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5.44University of California at Davis0.955.5%1st Place
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6.55University of California at Berkeley0.314.0%1st Place
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6.23University of California at Santa Cruz0.823.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 42.9% | 26.2% | 16.0% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.4% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Jasper Reid | 13.0% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Clay Myers | 10.4% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Max Case | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 18.7% | 26.9% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 10.2% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 8.8% |
| Wilton Lawton | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 27.5% |
| George Soliman | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.