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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+1.12vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+1.98vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+3.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.46vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.90+0.50vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.31+0.61vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-2.66vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-1.84vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.95-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Stanford University2.8941.1%1st Place
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3.98University of California at Santa Barbara1.3513.3%1st Place
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6.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.513.5%1st Place
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4.46University of California at Los Angeles1.309.7%1st Place
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5.5University of Southern California0.906.1%1st Place
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6.61University of California at Berkeley0.312.7%1st Place
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4.34California Poly Maritime Academy1.6211.3%1st Place
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6.16University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.7%1st Place
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5.32University of California at Davis0.956.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 41.1% | 28.9% | 15.4% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Reid | 13.3% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Max Case | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 19.5% | 25.2% |
| Marianna Shand | 9.7% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 10.2% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 27.7% |
| Clay Myers | 11.3% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 2.2% |
| George Soliman | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 20.9% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.