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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+1.14vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.90+3.44vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.49vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.35-0.02vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-0.62vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+0.17vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-0.79vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.31-1.24vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.95-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Stanford University2.8941.2%1st Place
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5.44University of Southern California0.906.7%1st Place
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4.49University of California at Los Angeles1.3010.5%1st Place
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3.98University of California at Santa Barbara1.3513.0%1st Place
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4.38California Poly Maritime Academy1.629.8%1st Place
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6.17University of California at Santa Cruz0.824.2%1st Place
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6.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.834.9%1st Place
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6.76University of California at Berkeley0.312.9%1st Place
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5.42University of California at Davis0.956.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 41.2% | 27.9% | 16.8% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 9.8% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.5% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Jasper Reid | 13.0% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Clay Myers | 9.8% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| George Soliman | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 19.7% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 19.6% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 32.6% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.