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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.53vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+0.94vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.90+1.47vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+1.12vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-1.66vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.31-0.32vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.95-2.47vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.82-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Stanford University2.8942.4%1st Place
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4.53University of California at Los Angeles1.3010.0%1st Place
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3.94University of California at Santa Barbara1.3513.2%1st Place
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5.47University of Southern California0.905.6%1st Place
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6.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.835.1%1st Place
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4.34California Poly Maritime Academy1.6210.8%1st Place
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6.68University of California at Berkeley0.313.6%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Davis0.955.1%1st Place
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6.22University of California at Santa Cruz0.824.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 42.4% | 25.4% | 15.5% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.0% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Jasper Reid | 13.2% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 10.2% |
| Jack Kisling | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 19.7% |
| Clay Myers | 10.8% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 19.5% | 29.8% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 10.6% |
| George Soliman | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.