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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.94+4.48vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.73+1.20vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.55+0.47vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.79+1.32vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.46+1.26vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.55+3.25vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.45-0.66vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-0.19+0.12vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.42-0.20vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.12-2.71vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-0.33-2.63vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida-0.58-2.77vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-2.08vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-2.46-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Jacksonville University0.949.2%1st Place
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3.2University of Miami1.7325.7%1st Place
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3.47Jacksonville University1.5521.1%1st Place
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5.32Rollins College0.7910.6%1st Place
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6.26University of South Florida0.466.4%1st Place
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9.25Florida Institute of Technology-0.552.2%1st Place
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6.34University of South Florida0.455.9%1st Place
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8.12Eckerd College-0.193.8%1st Place
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8.8Rollins College-0.423.6%1st Place
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7.29Florida State University0.124.9%1st Place
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8.37Jacksonville University-0.332.8%1st Place
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9.23University of South Florida-0.582.4%1st Place
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10.92Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.111.1%1st Place
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12.96Embry-Riddle University-2.460.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darby Smith | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Black | 25.7% | 19.7% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grayson Tella | 21.1% | 18.9% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Matzky | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zach O'connor | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Samantha Covell | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 4.2% |
| Sara Menesale | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Anderson Osinski | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Noah Belson | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 3.1% |
| Samantha Eckert | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 2.4% |
| Esme Pray | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 4.4% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 28.7% | 14.9% |
| Jess Dai | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 12.7% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.