← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.06+4.88vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78+9.44vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.76+4.40vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.84+5.94vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.28+0.35vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University0.91+5.21vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island1.20+2.41vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07+2.27vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.34+0.08vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island1.33-0.91vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University1.52-2.42vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.25-2.37vs Predicted
-
13Brown University0.41+0.35vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island0.55-1.06vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island0.93-4.10vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.43-2.63vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University0.80-5.57vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.40-4.95vs Predicted
-
19Brown University0.75-7.27vs Predicted
-
20Brown University-0.27-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.88Tufts University2.0611.3%1st Place
-
11.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.783.0%1st Place
-
7.4Brown University1.768.8%1st Place
-
9.94Roger Williams University1.844.1%1st Place
-
5.35Brown University2.2812.8%1st Place
-
11.21Roger Williams University0.913.9%1st Place
-
9.41University of Rhode Island1.205.0%1st Place
-
10.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.073.9%1st Place
-
9.08Tufts University1.345.3%1st Place
-
9.09University of Rhode Island1.335.7%1st Place
-
8.58Roger Williams University1.526.5%1st Place
-
9.63Tufts University1.254.8%1st Place
-
13.35Brown University0.412.9%1st Place
-
12.94University of Rhode Island0.553.4%1st Place
-
10.9University of Rhode Island0.934.1%1st Place
-
13.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.432.6%1st Place
-
11.43Tufts University0.803.5%1st Place
-
13.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.402.9%1st Place
-
11.73Brown University0.754.2%1st Place
-
15.94Brown University-0.271.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearse Dowd | 11.3% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joey Richardson | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| James Brock | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Noah Stapleton | 12.8% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Parker Moore | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Max Sigel | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| David Vinogradov | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Walter McFarland | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Severson | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Bo Angus | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Crue Ziskind | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Gabby Collins | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.6% |
| Jaxon Hottinger | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% |
| Leonardo Burnham | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Madeline Murphy | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 10.7% |
| Grant Schmidt | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Peter Judge | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% |
| Emery Diemar | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Dominic Ciccimaro | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 13.9% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.