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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.60+7.02vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.86+5.18vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.36+2.56vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+1.79vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.90+2.08vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.80+1.53vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.29-1.11vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-2.37vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.13+0.69vs Predicted
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10University of Florida1.59+1.63vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.22-4.95vs Predicted
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12Clemson University1.99-1.77vs Predicted
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13Clemson University1.34-0.68vs Predicted
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14University of Florida2.50-5.60vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.49-3.03vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.09-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.02Eckerd College2.600.1%1st Place
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7.18College of Charleston2.860.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Hawaii3.360.1%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.08Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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7.53University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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5.89University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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5.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Hawaii2.130.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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6.05College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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10.23Clemson University1.990.0%1st Place
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12.32Clemson University1.340.0%1st Place
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8.4University of Florida2.500.1%1st Place
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11.97University of Miami1.490.0%1st Place
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13.03University of Miami1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Kathryn Metscher | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 12.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 10.3% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Emilie Mademann | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Krysta Rohde | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% |
| Michelle Thomas | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 14.6% |
| Corey Hall | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Hodges | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% |
| Anna Bradley | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 19.0% | 21.5% |
| Caroline Wright | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Nicole Popp | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 15.6% |
| Amy Gaylord | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.