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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+2.88vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.13-0.34vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.86+0.16vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California-1.60+4.15vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00+1.99vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.84+0.17vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+0.51vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.90-1.48vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.72-0.73vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.41-2.37vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.69-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88University of California at Santa Cruz0.8610.9%1st Place
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1.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.1357.0%1st Place
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3.16University of California at Berkeley0.8614.4%1st Place
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8.15University of Southern California-1.601.4%1st Place
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6.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.002.7%1st Place
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6.17University of California at Berkeley-0.842.7%1st Place
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7.51University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.2%1st Place
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6.52University of California at San Diego-0.903.0%1st Place
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8.27Arizona State University-1.721.2%1st Place
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7.63University of California at Davis-1.412.0%1st Place
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6.05Arizona State University-0.693.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Roberts | 10.9% | 15.6% | 20.8% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Headington | 57.0% | 26.8% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 14.4% | 26.2% | 22.4% | 16.2% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Tang | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 18.6% | 22.6% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 9.4% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.7% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Liam Williams | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 14.1% |
| Emma Kalway | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 5.3% |
| Christopher Moore | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 27.0% |
| Juliette Cramer | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 14.8% |
| Jaquelyn Quintana | 3.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.