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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy4.15+0.50vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.50+1.12vs Predicted
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3American University1.85+1.09vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College0.99+1.54vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.57-0.44vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.95-0.45vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy1.02-1.47vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.57-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5U. S. Naval Academy4.150.6%1st Place
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3.12Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.09American University1.850.1%1st Place
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5.54Hamilton College0.990.0%1st Place
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4.56George Washington University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.55Columbia University0.950.0%1st Place
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5.53U. S. Military Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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6.12University of Rochester0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Nordlund | 64.9% | 24.2% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 13.4% | 26.5% | 26.1% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Russell Gasdia | 7.0% | 14.8% | 19.0% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| Rachel Bristol | 2.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 20.7% | 19.0% |
| Hussain Patel | 5.3% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 6.1% |
| Stephanie Hart | 3.1% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 20.9% |
| Gregory Dempsey | 2.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 21.9% | 18.6% |
| Adam Bossert | 0.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 17.0% | 20.0% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.