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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+3.62vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+0.06vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.67-0.18vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.03-0.26vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.38-0.53vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-1.10-0.40vs Predicted
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7McGill University-1.22-1.25vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.12-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.526.5%1st Place
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2.06Salve Regina University0.4643.4%1st Place
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2.82Bates College0.6722.4%1st Place
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3.74Middlebury College0.0311.8%1st Place
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4.47University of New Hampshire-0.387.2%1st Place
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5.6Bentley University-1.103.9%1st Place
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5.75McGill University-1.223.0%1st Place
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6.94University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.121.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Rodes | 6.5% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 19.1% | 18.6% | 12.5% | 5.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 43.4% | 27.3% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ted Lutton | 22.4% | 25.8% | 21.1% | 15.8% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Walter Chiles | 11.8% | 14.8% | 21.0% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Sean Lund | 7.2% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 20.9% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 3.5% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 19.8% | 24.9% | 15.7% |
| Katherine Weaver | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 20.3% | 25.9% | 17.3% |
| Andrew Graham | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 18.4% | 57.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.