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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+1.14vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.38+2.46vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+1.69vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.67-1.19vs Predicted
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5McGill University-1.22+0.67vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.03-2.26vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-1.10-1.40vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.12-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Salve Regina University0.4639.5%1st Place
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4.46University of New Hampshire-0.388.2%1st Place
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4.69University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.526.0%1st Place
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2.81Bates College0.6723.6%1st Place
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5.67McGill University-1.224.8%1st Place
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3.74Middlebury College0.0312.2%1st Place
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5.6Bentley University-1.103.8%1st Place
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6.88University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.121.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emil Tullberg | 39.5% | 28.6% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Sean Lund | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 11.1% | 3.9% |
Marshall Rodes | 6.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 4.9% |
Ted Lutton | 23.6% | 24.2% | 22.4% | 15.1% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Katherine Weaver | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 24.9% | 18.4% |
Walter Chiles | 12.2% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
Wilfred Hynes | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 19.7% | 24.6% | 15.6% |
Andrew Graham | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 17.7% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.