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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+1.10vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.67+0.75vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.03+0.73vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.38+0.51vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-0.40vs Predicted
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6McGill University-1.22-0.25vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-1.10-1.40vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.12-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Salve Regina University0.4639.4%1st Place
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2.75Bates College0.6723.9%1st Place
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3.73Middlebury College0.0313.7%1st Place
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4.51University of New Hampshire-0.387.5%1st Place
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4.6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.527.2%1st Place
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5.75McGill University-1.223.4%1st Place
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5.6Bentley University-1.103.4%1st Place
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6.94University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.121.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 39.4% | 29.8% | 17.2% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ted Lutton | 23.9% | 26.8% | 21.1% | 14.2% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Walter Chiles | 13.7% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Sean Lund | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 4.2% |
| Marshall Rodes | 7.2% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 20.2% | 17.9% | 12.5% | 4.8% |
| Katherine Weaver | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 25.1% | 18.4% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 19.6% | 24.6% | 15.0% |
| Andrew Graham | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 19.1% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.