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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.03+2.63vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+0.11vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.67-0.12vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.38+0.43vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.12+1.95vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-1.10-0.44vs Predicted
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7McGill University-1.22-1.27vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Middlebury College0.0314.4%1st Place
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2.11Salve Regina University0.4640.7%1st Place
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2.88Bates College0.6721.8%1st Place
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4.43University of New Hampshire-0.388.2%1st Place
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6.95University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.121.0%1st Place
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5.56Bentley University-1.104.0%1st Place
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5.73McGill University-1.223.2%1st Place
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4.71University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.526.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Chiles | 14.4% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 19.8% | 16.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 40.7% | 28.3% | 17.5% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ted Lutton | 21.8% | 24.4% | 21.9% | 16.2% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Sean Lund | 8.2% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 18.2% | 11.6% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Graham | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 17.3% | 56.8% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 19.4% | 23.9% | 15.1% |
| Katherine Weaver | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 20.1% | 25.2% | 17.6% |
| Marshall Rodes | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.6% | 14.4% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.