← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of New Hampshire-0.38+3.51vs Predicted
-
2Middlebury College0.03+1.72vs Predicted
-
3Bates College0.67-0.22vs Predicted
-
4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+0.70vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University0.46-2.94vs Predicted
-
6McGill University-1.22-0.27vs Predicted
-
7Bentley University-1.10-1.38vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.12-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.51University of New Hampshire-0.388.1%1st Place
-
3.72Middlebury College0.0312.2%1st Place
-
2.78Bates College0.6724.0%1st Place
-
4.7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.526.8%1st Place
-
2.06Salve Regina University0.4640.4%1st Place
-
5.73McGill University-1.223.5%1st Place
-
5.62Bentley University-1.103.5%1st Place
-
6.88University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.121.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Lund | 8.1% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 4.5% |
| Walter Chiles | 12.2% | 14.1% | 19.4% | 21.5% | 16.7% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Ted Lutton | 24.0% | 25.2% | 21.1% | 15.2% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Marshall Rodes | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 19.0% | 14.1% | 5.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 40.4% | 30.6% | 17.6% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Weaver | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 26.7% | 17.8% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 20.5% | 23.1% | 15.7% |
| Andrew Graham | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 17.7% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.