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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52+3.67vs Predicted
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2Bentley University-1.10+3.65vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.03+0.69vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.46-1.92vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.67-2.18vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.12+0.95vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.38-2.58vs Predicted
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8McGill University-1.22-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.527.0%1st Place
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5.65Bentley University-1.104.0%1st Place
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3.69Middlebury College0.0312.0%1st Place
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2.08Salve Regina University0.4641.4%1st Place
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2.82Bates College0.6722.9%1st Place
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6.95University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.120.9%1st Place
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4.42University of New Hampshire-0.388.2%1st Place
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5.73McGill University-1.223.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marshall Rodes | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 13.8% | 5.1% |
Wilfred Hynes | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 19.6% | 24.6% | 16.9% |
Walter Chiles | 12.0% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
Emil Tullberg | 41.4% | 27.9% | 17.5% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Ted Lutton | 22.9% | 24.6% | 21.9% | 16.4% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Andrew Graham | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 16.9% | 57.0% |
Sean Lund | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 3.6% |
Katherine Weaver | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 19.2% | 27.1% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.