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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.06vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+3.68vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+1.15vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+5.72vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.67+1.51vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.60+0.83vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.83-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia3.01+0.78vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-1.66vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.04+2.55vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+1.53vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania3.16-3.40vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.84-3.56vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.38-3.07vs Predicted
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15William and Mary1.27-0.28vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University0.98-0.53vs Predicted
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17Princeton University1.81-3.72vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.99-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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5.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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4.15Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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9.72Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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6.51Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.83SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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6.01U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.1%1st Place
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12.55Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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12.53Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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9.44Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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10.93George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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14.72William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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15.47Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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13.28Princeton University1.810.0%1st Place
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12.41Columbia University1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Anderson | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 17.4% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Gary Herring | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 6.1% |
| Christian Geary | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 6.8% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Bailey | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Ian Connors | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Jonathan Conway | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 19.5% | 25.1% |
| Paul Luisi | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 18.1% | 38.5% |
| Samantha Gebb | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 11.5% |
| John Croll | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.