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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.40+1.44vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University-0.79+1.15vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.42+0.82vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20+0.08vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.99-1.45vs Predicted
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6McGill University-2.14-0.84vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.63-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Bates College-0.4033.1%1st Place
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3.15Salve Regina University-0.7919.1%1st Place
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3.82Middlebury College-1.4211.4%1st Place
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4.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.2012.0%1st Place
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3.55University of New Hampshire-0.9915.1%1st Place
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5.16McGill University-2.146.2%1st Place
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5.8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.633.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Frary | 33.1% | 24.4% | 20.0% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 19.1% | 20.5% | 19.9% | 18.4% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 1.8% |
| William Procter | 11.4% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 14.0% | 6.0% |
| Cole Perra | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 20.3% | 18.2% | 8.3% |
| Henry Poynter | 15.1% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 11.5% | 4.2% |
| Harry Boutemy | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 27.2% | 27.9% |
| Emily King | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 19.4% | 51.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.