← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bates College-0.40+1.47vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire-0.99+1.45vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University-0.79+0.15vs Predicted
-
4Middlebury College-1.42-0.16vs Predicted
-
5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20-0.83vs Predicted
-
6McGill University-2.14-0.83vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.63-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.47Bates College-0.4033.4%1st Place
-
3.45University of New Hampshire-0.9916.0%1st Place
-
3.15Salve Regina University-0.7918.9%1st Place
-
3.84Middlebury College-1.4213.0%1st Place
-
4.17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.2010.1%1st Place
-
5.17McGill University-2.145.2%1st Place
-
5.76University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.633.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Frary | 33.4% | 24.6% | 18.3% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Henry Poynter | 16.0% | 18.8% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 3.2% |
| Sean Morrison | 18.9% | 20.4% | 22.0% | 16.6% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 2.1% |
| William Procter | 13.0% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 6.5% |
| Cole Perra | 10.1% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 18.4% | 9.8% |
| Harry Boutemy | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 25.8% | 28.4% |
| Emily King | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 20.2% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.