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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.40+1.47vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-1.42+1.75vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.99+0.52vs Predicted
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4McGill University-2.14+1.22vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.79-1.89vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20-1.92vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.63-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Bates College-0.4033.2%1st Place
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3.75Middlebury College-1.4212.7%1st Place
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3.52University of New Hampshire-0.9915.4%1st Place
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5.22McGill University-2.145.3%1st Place
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3.11Salve Regina University-0.7920.0%1st Place
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4.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.2010.2%1st Place
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5.85University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.633.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Frary | 33.2% | 23.8% | 19.9% | 12.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| William Procter | 12.7% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 13.3% | 5.2% |
| Henry Poynter | 15.4% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 18.5% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% |
| Harry Boutemy | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 16.7% | 28.5% | 28.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 20.0% | 20.3% | 20.7% | 17.8% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Cole Perra | 10.2% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 20.6% | 16.1% | 8.5% |
| Emily King | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 20.2% | 51.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.