← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University-0.79+2.47vs Predicted
-
2University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97+1.82vs Predicted
-
3Bates College-0.40-0.25vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.13vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College-1.42-0.87vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20-1.59vs Predicted
-
7McGill University-2.14-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.47Salve Regina University-0.7918.1%1st Place
-
3.82University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.9713.7%1st Place
-
2.75Bates College-0.4028.2%1st Place
-
3.87University of New Hampshire-0.9914.1%1st Place
-
4.13Middlebury College-1.4211.1%1st Place
-
4.41University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.2010.8%1st Place
-
5.55McGill University-2.144.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Morrison | 18.1% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 4.8% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 13.7% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 9.4% |
| Cameron Frary | 28.2% | 22.1% | 19.8% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Henry Poynter | 14.1% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 8.2% |
| William Procter | 11.1% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 12.6% |
| Cole Perra | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 17.6% |
| Harry Boutemy | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 17.9% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.