← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy4.15+0.48vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University2.50+1.13vs Predicted
-
3Hamilton College0.99+2.49vs Predicted
-
4Columbia University0.95+1.60vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.57-0.43vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Military Academy1.02-0.56vs Predicted
-
7American University1.85-2.83vs Predicted
-
8University of Rochester0.57-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.48U. S. Naval Academy4.150.7%1st Place
-
3.13Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
-
5.49Hamilton College0.990.0%1st Place
-
5.6Columbia University0.950.0%1st Place
-
4.57George Washington University1.570.1%1st Place
-
5.44U. S. Military Academy1.020.0%1st Place
-
4.17American University1.850.1%1st Place
-
6.12University of Rochester0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Nordlund | 65.0% | 25.2% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 13.3% | 25.9% | 26.0% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Bristol | 3.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 20.2% | 18.6% |
| Stephanie Hart | 2.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 19.3% | 20.8% |
| Hussain Patel | 5.6% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 6.2% |
| Gregory Dempsey | 3.3% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 18.2% |
| Russell Gasdia | 6.1% | 14.9% | 18.5% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 4.4% |
| Adam Bossert | 1.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 19.8% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.