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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97+2.74vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University-0.79+1.51vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20+1.43vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.40-1.33vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.99-1.14vs Predicted
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6McGill University-2.14-0.45vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.42-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.9716.0%1st Place
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3.51Salve Regina University-0.7917.2%1st Place
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4.43University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.208.6%1st Place
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2.67Bates College-0.4029.1%1st Place
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3.86University of New Hampshire-0.9913.2%1st Place
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5.55McGill University-2.145.2%1st Place
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4.25Middlebury College-1.4210.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian McCaffrey | 16.0% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 7.9% |
| Sean Morrison | 17.2% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 6.3% |
| Cole Perra | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 20.4% | 15.8% |
| Cameron Frary | 29.1% | 24.7% | 18.1% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Henry Poynter | 13.2% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 7.9% |
| Harry Boutemy | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 47.2% |
| William Procter | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 17.5% | 18.4% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.