← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University-0.79+2.46vs Predicted
-
2University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97+1.82vs Predicted
-
3Middlebury College-1.42+1.24vs Predicted
-
4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20+0.50vs Predicted
-
5McGill University-2.14+0.54vs Predicted
-
6University of New Hampshire-0.99-2.17vs Predicted
-
7Bates College-0.40-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.46Salve Regina University-0.7917.0%1st Place
-
3.82University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.9714.3%1st Place
-
4.24Middlebury College-1.4210.7%1st Place
-
4.5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.209.4%1st Place
-
5.54McGill University-2.144.8%1st Place
-
3.83University of New Hampshire-0.9912.8%1st Place
-
2.6Bates College-0.4030.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Morrison | 17.0% | 18.5% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 5.1% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 14.3% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 8.1% |
| William Procter | 10.7% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 17.3% | 18.1% | 13.6% |
| Cole Perra | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 19.3% | 17.5% |
| Harry Boutemy | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 18.0% | 46.1% |
| Henry Poynter | 12.8% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 8.2% |
| Cameron Frary | 30.9% | 24.4% | 19.4% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.