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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.65vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+3.64vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia3.01+6.00vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.07+8.00vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+0.74vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.22vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+0.28vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.70-1.81vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.51-5.16vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+2.56vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University0.98+4.37vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.04+0.54vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.60-6.40vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.77-4.63vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.29-3.60vs Predicted
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16Princeton University1.81-2.82vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.38-5.78vs Predicted
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18William and Mary1.37-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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5.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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12.0Columbia University2.070.0%1st Place
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5.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.22University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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7.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.1%1st Place
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6.19Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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3.84Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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12.56Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
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15.37Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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12.54Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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6.6SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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9.37Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.4Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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13.18Princeton University1.810.0%1st Place
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11.22George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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14.2William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Melissa Bermudez | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% |
| Austen Anderson | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Gary Herring | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Brady Stagg | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 22.1% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.2% |
| Paul Luisi | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 40.4% |
| Alex Reynolds | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 7.3% |
| Harry Scott | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
| Samantha Gebb | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 9.9% |
| Ian Connors | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Bill Parker | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.