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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.74+1.40vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.30+0.61vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.44+0.62vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.85+0.20vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-1.26+0.06vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.850.00vs Predicted
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7Miami University-2.22-0.56vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-1.71-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Michigan State University0.7433.2%1st Place
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2.61Purdue University0.3028.9%1st Place
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3.62University of Michigan-0.4413.6%1st Place
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4.2Grand Valley State University-0.859.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Toledo-1.266.1%1st Place
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6.0Western Michigan University-1.852.5%1st Place
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6.44Miami University-2.222.6%1st Place
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5.68Michigan Technological University-1.714.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Koerschner | 33.2% | 26.5% | 19.2% | 12.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Bernhardt | 28.9% | 23.5% | 22.1% | 13.4% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Glen Warren | 13.6% | 16.5% | 19.7% | 18.7% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Carly Irwin | 9.0% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 8.7% | 3.0% |
| Kassidy Kennedy | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 16.7% | 9.7% |
| William O'Haver | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 24.7% | 25.9% |
| Elizabeth Bittner | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 22.8% | 39.2% |
| Avie Krauss | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 21.6% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.