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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+4.81vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.70+4.60vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+1.11vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.60+2.74vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.81+8.09vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.60vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+0.49vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.12vs Predicted
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9Washington College3.07-0.27vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.16-1.36vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.07+1.43vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.38-0.34vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia3.01-4.14vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-4.68vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.04-2.60vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-3.33vs Predicted
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17William and Mary1.37-2.38vs Predicted
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18Monmouth University0.98-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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6.6Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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4.11Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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6.74SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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13.09Princeton University1.810.0%1st Place
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6.6U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.1%1st Place
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5.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.73Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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8.64University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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12.43Columbia University2.070.0%1st Place
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11.66George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.86University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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9.32Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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12.4Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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12.67Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
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14.62William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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15.35Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Bolger | 18.6% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Gebb | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 11.3% |
| Michael Grove | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gary Herring | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Austen Anderson | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Melissa Bermudez | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 6.9% |
| Ian Connors | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| Christopher Stessing | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Alex Reynolds | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 6.6% |
| Christian Geary | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 7.6% |
| Bill Parker | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 20.1% | 24.2% |
| Paul Luisi | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 17.7% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.