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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University-0.85+3.24vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.30+0.52vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.44+0.59vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.74-1.55vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.85+0.83vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-1.26-0.89vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-1.71-1.29vs Predicted
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8Miami University-2.22-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Grand Valley State University-0.859.7%1st Place
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2.52Purdue University0.3029.6%1st Place
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3.59University of Michigan-0.4414.3%1st Place
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2.45Michigan State University0.7431.8%1st Place
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5.83Western Michigan University-1.853.8%1st Place
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5.11University of Toledo-1.265.5%1st Place
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5.71Michigan Technological University-1.713.4%1st Place
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6.55Miami University-2.221.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Irwin | 9.7% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 14.5% | 9.1% | 3.5% |
| William Bernhardt | 29.6% | 27.4% | 18.6% | 13.8% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Glen Warren | 14.3% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Luke Koerschner | 31.8% | 25.9% | 20.3% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William O'Haver | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 24.2% | 23.2% |
| Kassidy Kennedy | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 20.8% | 17.2% | 10.2% |
| Avie Krauss | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 22.4% | 19.7% |
| Elizabeth Bittner | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 21.7% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.