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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.76vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.70+4.61vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.60+3.99vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+1.51vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+2.45vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.51-1.99vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.12vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.81+5.13vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.38+2.26vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.16-1.41vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.85-1.41vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia3.01-2.64vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.04-0.68vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.99-1.65vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-2.46vs Predicted
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16William and Mary1.37-1.43vs Predicted
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17Monmouth University0.98-1.44vs Predicted
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18Washington College3.07-9.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.61Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.99SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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5.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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7.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.1%1st Place
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4.01Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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5.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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13.13Princeton University1.810.0%1st Place
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11.26George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.59University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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9.59Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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12.32Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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12.35Columbia University1.990.0%1st Place
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12.54Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
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14.57William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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15.56Monmouth University0.980.0%1st Place
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8.53Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Herring | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 18.0% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gebb | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 10.3% |
| Ian Connors | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Alex Reynolds | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 6.1% |
| John Croll | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 6.9% |
| Christian Geary | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 7.2% |
| Bill Parker | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 18.6% | 24.6% |
| Paul Luisi | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 18.1% | 40.4% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.