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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University-0.85+3.11vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-1.71+3.60vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-1.85+2.93vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.44-0.44vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.30-2.51vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-1.26-1.04vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.06-4.03vs Predicted
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8Miami University-2.22-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Grand Valley State University-0.8511.5%1st Place
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5.6Michigan Technological University-1.714.5%1st Place
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5.93Western Michigan University-1.854.3%1st Place
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3.56University of Michigan-0.4416.0%1st Place
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2.49Purdue University0.3031.4%1st Place
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4.96University of Toledo-1.266.2%1st Place
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2.97Michigan State University-0.0622.8%1st Place
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6.39Miami University-2.223.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Irwin | 11.5% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 3.1% |
| Avie Krauss | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 20.9% | 19.6% |
| William O'Haver | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 24.6% | 25.1% |
| Glen Warren | 16.0% | 16.4% | 18.7% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| William Bernhardt | 31.4% | 27.4% | 18.0% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kassidy Kennedy | 6.2% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 9.6% |
| Leonard Alberty | 22.8% | 22.4% | 20.0% | 16.2% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Bittner | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 20.9% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.