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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.90+5.27vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+1.90vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.13-1.40vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+3.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.84+1.05vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.41+0.41vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.86-3.86vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.72+0.15vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-2.24vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.41-2.70vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California-2.24-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27University of California at San Diego-0.903.5%1st Place
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3.9University of California at Santa Cruz0.869.7%1st Place
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1.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.1358.9%1st Place
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7.27University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.6%1st Place
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6.05University of California at Berkeley-0.843.5%1st Place
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6.41Arizona State University-0.412.7%1st Place
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3.14University of California at Berkeley0.8614.3%1st Place
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8.15Arizona State University-1.721.1%1st Place
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6.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.002.0%1st Place
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7.3University of California at Davis-1.411.9%1st Place
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9.16University of Southern California-2.240.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kalway | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Blake Roberts | 9.7% | 15.3% | 20.7% | 21.7% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Headington | 58.9% | 27.2% | 10.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Williams | 1.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 10.0% |
| Bianca Weber | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.7% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 4.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 14.3% | 26.1% | 23.5% | 17.2% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Moore | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 20.2% | 19.5% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 6.2% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 10.2% |
| Maximilian Miesen | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.