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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.50+2.07vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.15-0.51vs Predicted
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3American University1.85+1.09vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.57+0.63vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy1.02+0.48vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.95-0.45vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College0.99-2.43vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester0.57-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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1.49U. S. Naval Academy4.150.6%1st Place
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4.09American University1.850.1%1st Place
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4.63George Washington University1.570.0%1st Place
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5.48U. S. Military Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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5.55Columbia University0.950.0%1st Place
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5.57Hamilton College0.990.0%1st Place
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6.12University of Rochester0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Turchiano | 13.8% | 28.9% | 24.1% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Robert Nordlund | 63.9% | 25.4% | 8.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Russell Gasdia | 7.2% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 20.4% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
| Hussain Patel | 4.4% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 19.2% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 7.4% |
| Gregory Dempsey | 3.0% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 20.2% | 16.5% |
| Stephanie Hart | 2.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 21.2% |
| Rachel Bristol | 2.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 20.4% |
| Adam Bossert | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 21.1% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.